CF Industries is a leading producer and distributor of nitrogen, which is primarily used in fertilizers. The company operates nitrogen manufacturing plants primarily in North America. CF also produces nitrogen in the United Kingdom and holds a joint venture interest in a nitrogen production facility in Trinidad and Tobago. CF makes nitrogen primarily using low-cost US natural gas as its feedstock, making the company one of the lowest-cost nitrogen producers globally. It is also investing in carbon-free blue and green ammonia, which can be used as an alternative fuel to hydrogen or as a means to transport hydrogen.
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in CF Industries Holding, Inc., comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index.
All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends.
CF Industries Holding, Inc. (CF) has returned 67.75% so far this year and 79.69% over the past 12 months. Looking at the last ten years, CF has achieved an annualized return of 15.09%, outperforming the Benchmark (SPY), which averaged 12.23% per year.
The table below presents the monthly returns of CF Industries Holding, Inc. (CF) with color gradation from worst to best to easily spot seasonal factors.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 20.33% | 8.81% | 20.67% | 1.98% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 7.22% | -11.20% | -4.35% | -0.10% | 15.50% | 0.73% | 1.04% | -6.65% | 3.59% | -7.11% | -5.43% | -2.10% |
| 2024 | -5.32% | 4.86% | 2.73% | -5.43% | 1.05% | -6.60% | 2.83% | 8.56% | 4.42% | -3.54% | 8.19% | -4.86% |
| 2023 | 0.01% | 2.24% | -15.50% | -2.94% | -14.33% | 11.97% | 18.36% | -6.12% | 9.92% | -6.68% | -6.26% | 4.74% |
| 2022 | -3.73% | 16.28% | 25.74% | -5.13% | 2.61% | -13.34% | 12.55% | 8.86% | -5.88% | 5.17% | 0.18% | -21.55% |
| 2021 | 6.10% | 8.09% | -1.54% | 6.34% | 8.16% | -5.06% | -12.26% | -4.30% | 22.98% | 0.16% | 6.17% | 13.85% |
| 2020 | -16.41% | -8.47% | -27.04% | 6.14% | 8.86% | -3.79% | 10.98% | 3.82% | -5.16% | -9.83% | 33.17% | 2.14% |
| 2019 | 2.20% | -3.74% | -3.90% | 8.03% | -9.39% | 16.34% | 5.90% | -7.75% | 3.17% | -8.25% | 1.58% | 3.58% |
| 2018 | -0.98% | -2.23% | -8.82% | 3.16% | 6.80% | 7.12% | 0.66% | 17.59% | 4.95% | -12.26% | -12.03% | 0.05% |
| 2017 | 10.21% | -11.09% | -8.25% | -9.11% | 0.07% | 3.94% | 4.08% | -1.66% | 21.28% | 8.17% | -2.04% | 13.17% |
| 2016 | 7.13% | -16.59% | -11.82% | 3.18% | 6.30% | -6.74% | -1.07% | 19.83% | 8.22% |
The charts below present risk-adjusted performance metrics for CF Industries Holding, Inc. (CF) and compare them to a Benchmark (SPY). These indicators evaluate an investment's returns against its associated risks.
The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.
These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns.
The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of CF compared to the benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.
The current CF Industries Holding, Inc. volatility is 4.73%, representing the standart deviation of percentage change in the investments's value, either up or down over the past month. The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. It shows the maximum percentage drop from a peak to a trough over a specified period, indicating the risk of significant losses.
Although chart shows positive values, it represents the percentage drop from the peak, so a value of 10% means the portfolio has dropped 10% from its highest point.
The income statement provides a summary of a company's revenues, expenses, and profits over a specific period. It shows how much money the company earned (revenues) and how much it spent (expenses), leading to the net income or profit. This statement is crucial for understanding a company's financial performance and profitability.
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liabilities And Equity (USD) | 14.09B | 13.47B | 14.38B | 13.31B | 12.38B | 12.02B | 12.17B | 12.66B | 13.46B | 15.13B | 12.74B | 11.34B | 10.68B | 10.17B | 8.97B |
| Equity Attributable To Parent (USD) | 4.84B | 4.99B | 5.72B | 5.05B | 3.21B | 2.92B | 2.90B | 2.96B | 3.58B | 3.35B | 4.04B | 4.21B | 5.08B | 5.90B | 4.55B |
| Equity Attributable To Noncontrolling Interest (USD) | 2.94B | 2.61B | 2.66B | 2.80B | 2.83B | 2.68B | 2.74B | 2.77B | 3.11B | 3.14B | 352.00M | 362.80M | 362.30M | 380.00M | 385.90M |
| Equity (USD) | 7.78B | 7.59B | 8.37B | 7.85B | 6.04B | 5.60B | 5.64B | 5.73B | 6.68B | 6.49B | 4.39B | 4.57B | 5.44B | 6.28B | 4.93B |
| Other Non-current Liabilities (USD) | 2.21B | 2.09B | 2.24B | 1.50B | 1.44B | 1.55B | 1.91B | 1.53B | 1.51B | 2.18B | - | 1.19B | 1.31B | 1.33B | 1.40B |
| Long-term Debt (USD) | 3.22B | 2.97B | 2.97B | 2.97B | 3.47B | 3.96B | 3.96B | 4.70B | 4.69B | 5.78B | - | 4.59B | 3.10B | 1.60B | 1.61B |
| Noncurrent Liabilities (USD) | 5.43B | 5.06B | 5.20B | 4.47B | 4.91B | 5.51B | 5.87B | 6.23B | 6.20B | 7.95B | 7.14B | 5.79B | 4.41B | 2.93B | 3.01B |
| Other Current Liabilities (USD) | 626.00M | 624.00M | 605.00M | 850.00M | 1.23B | 753.00M | 506.00M | 525.00M | 416.00M | 559.00M | 1.07B | 866.60M | 587.50M | 769.80M | 870.10M |
| Wages (USD) | 113.00M | 69.00M | 81.00M | 82.00M | 88.00M | 68.00M | 81.00M | 79.00M | 65.00M | 46.00M | 48.80M | 47.30M | 71.80M | 63.10M | 61.60M |
| Accounts Payable (USD) | 148.00M | 125.00M | 114.00M | 63.00M | 110.00M | 85.00M | 78.00M | 101.00M | 99.00M | 81.00M | 96.60M | 65.80M | 169.00M | 117.30M | 99.50M |
| Current Liabilities (USD) | 887.00M | 818.00M | 800.00M | 995.00M | 1.43B | 906.00M | 665.00M | 705.00M | 580.00M | 686.00M | 1.22B | 979.70M | 828.30M | 950.20M | 1.03B |
| Liabilities (USD) | 6.31B | 5.87B | 6.00B | 5.46B | 6.34B | 6.42B | 6.54B | 6.93B | 6.78B | 8.64B | 8.35B | 6.77B | 5.24B | 3.88B | 4.04B |
| Other Non-current Assets (USD) | 3.92B | 3.70B | 3.65B | 3.20B | 2.70B | 3.02B | 3.03B | 2.76B | 2.82B | 2.82B | 3.07B | 3.20B | 3.95B | 3.46B | 3.44B |
| Intangible Assets (USD) | 473.00M | 507.00M | 538.00M | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Fixed Assets (USD) | 6.72B | 6.74B | 7.14B | 6.44B | 7.08B | 7.63B | 8.17B | 8.62B | 9.18B | 9.65B | 8.54B | 5.53B | 4.10B | 3.90B | 3.74B |
| Noncurrent Assets (USD) | 11.10B | 10.95B | 11.33B | 9.64B | 9.78B | 10.66B | 11.20B | 11.39B | 12.00B | 12.48B | 11.61B | 8.72B | 8.05B | 7.36B | 7.18B |
| Other Current Assets (USD) | 2.11B | 1.80B | 2.25B | 2.62B | 1.69B | 815.00M | 381.00M | 730.00M | 883.00M | 2.08B | 538.70M | 2.20B | 2.11B | 2.30B | 1.21B |
| Prepaid Expenses (USD) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 17.40M | 19.10M | 13.90M | 11.90M |
| Inventory (USD) | 383.00M | 314.00M | 299.00M | 474.00M | 408.00M | 287.00M | 351.00M | 309.00M | 275.00M | 339.00M | 321.20M | 202.90M | 274.30M | 277.90M | 304.20M |
| Accounts Receivable (USD) | 488.00M | 404.00M | 505.00M | 582.00M | 497.00M | 265.00M | 242.00M | 235.00M | 307.00M | 236.00M | 267.20M | 191.50M | 230.90M | 217.40M | 269.40M |
| Current Assets (USD) | 2.99B | 2.52B | 3.05B | 3.67B | 2.59B | 1.37B | 974.00M | 1.27B | 1.47B | 2.66B | 1.13B | 2.61B | 2.63B | 2.81B | 1.80B |
| Assets (USD) | 14.09B | 13.47B | 14.38B | 13.31B | 12.38B | 12.02B | 12.17B | 12.66B | 13.46B | 15.13B | 12.74B | 11.34B | 10.68B | 10.17B | 8.97B |
With the Strait of Hormuz closure disrupting global energy and commodity flows, the article recommends 10 stocks positioned to benefit from supply chain shifts. These include U.S. oil producers, refiners benefiting from widened crack spreads, LNG exporters filling supply gaps, shipping companies handling longer routes, and fertilizer producers gaining from reduced competition.
U.S. equities staged their strongest rally in weeks on Tuesday following Trump's signals of willingness to end military hostilities with Iran. The S&P 500 advanced 1.8% to 6,456, though it remains down 6.2% for the month. Tech stocks led the recovery with the Nasdaq 100 rising 2%. Despite the rally, the S&P 500 is on track for its worst monthly performance since September 2022.
The Strait of Hormuz blockade is driving up oil and fertilizer prices, creating opportunities for three commodity stocks. CF Industries benefits from fertilizer demand without supply chain disruptions, ExxonMobil profits from surging oil prices as the largest U.S. oil company, and Vaalco Energy gains premium pricing advantages by operating in regions unaffected by the blockade.
The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, through which 25% of global seaborne oil and 20% of LNG trade flows, is creating significant ripple effects across energy markets. Rising oil prices benefit U.S. exploration and production companies, while refining crack spreads have soared above $58. The disruption also benefits LNG suppliers from alternative sources, fertilizer producers, and LNG shipping companies facing longer routes.
FMC stock has fallen two-thirds over the past year due to industry headwinds and patent expirations in the agricultural chemicals sector. Despite challenges including declining revenue and earnings, the stock may present a buying opportunity for new investors due to two potential catalysts: a possible strategic acquisition at a premium price and new patented crop protection products. Trading at 8-9x forward earnings compared to competitors' mid-teens multiples, FMC appears undervalued, though the investment remains highly speculative.
An escalating Iran war has created the greatest global energy security threat in history, causing oil and gas prices to spike and damaging energy infrastructure. Energy and commodity stocks have surged as winners, while cyclical stocks, industrials, and Asian markets dependent on Persian Gulf oil have fallen sharply. Investors are advised to prepare for continued volatility rather than chase energy stocks.
The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has disrupted approximately 30-35% of global fertilizer supply, including nitrogen, phosphate, and potash. This supply shock is benefiting North American fertilizer producers, particularly those with domestic natural gas advantages. Three stocks are positioned to gain from higher fertilizer prices amid the extended shortage.
Geopolitical tensions in the Persian Gulf threaten to disrupt global energy and fertilizer supply chains. The article identifies CF Industries and Woodside Energy Group as potential beneficiaries due to their positioning to supply fertilizers and LNG to Asia, respectively, as traditional supply routes through the Strait of Hormuz face disruption.
U.S. stock futures rose on Wednesday ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and Jerome Powell's press conference. Markets are pricing in a 98.9% likelihood of unchanged rates. Key movers include Lululemon falling on weak guidance, Micron gaining ahead of earnings, New Fortress Energy jumping 6.96% after debt restructuring, and CF Industries declining on analyst downgrade. Asian and European markets also closed higher.
Three weeks into the Iran war, markets are repositioning for a prolonged conflict lasting months rather than days. A 32-percentage-point divergence has emerged between stocks benefiting from a closed Strait of Hormuz (energy, defense, drones) which are up 17.55% on average, and those needing it open (airlines, cruise lines, logistics) which are down 15.35% on average. Prediction markets assign only a 26% probability of normal traffic returning by April 30, suggesting at least six more weeks of disruption.
